February 2003
Trading Tip:Price Action - The Footprint of the Money
Judy MacKeigan - Buffy
"What is Price Action?" is a frequently asked
question by aspiring traders. Traders who ask, feel it is a well kept secret
when all they receive for an answer is: 'Swing highs, swing lows, test of
top/bottom, etc., are all price action.' The answer still leaves them in the
dark. Understanding price action enables a trader to minimize questionable
entries and improve exits. Price action is the footprint of the money.
Let's start with the very basics. The bars on the following
chart are labeled as traders commonly referred to them.
Up Bar: is a bar with a higher high and higher low
than the previous bar. The bars marked off are in an up trend. Notice how the
close is higher than the open until what turns out to be the last bar of the
trend where the close is lower than the open. There were more sellers then
buyers on the last bar.
Down Bar: is a bar with a lower high and lower low
than the previous bar. The bars marked off are in a down trend. Notice how the
close is lower than the open until what turns out to be the last bar of the
trend where the close is higher than the open. There were more buyers then
sellers on the last bar.
Inside Bar: also called a narrow range bar, is a bar
with the high that is lower than the previous bar and low that is higher than
the previous bar. Some traders do not consider an inside bar that has either an
equal high or an equal low as an inside bar, others do. Inside bars usually
represent market indecision. As on any bar, the closer the open and close are to
each other shows just how undecided the market is as neither the buyers or
sellers are in control. Buyers are in control on the inside bar marked on the
chart because the close is at the top of the bar.
Outside Bar: also called a Wide Range or Engulfing
Bar, is a bar with a high that is higher than the previous bar and with a low
that is lower than the previous bar thereby engulfing the previous bar. Since
the open and close are close together on the marked bar, neither the buyers or
the sellers are in control and the market is undecided which way to go.
When the open is in the bottom quarter/third of the bar and
the close is in the top quarter/third of the bar, it is said to be bullish
engulfing with the buyers in control. When the open is in the top quarter/third
of the bar and the close is in the bottom quarter/third, it is said to be
bearish engulfing with the sellers in control.
Another definition used for this bar – especially if
candlestick charts are used - is that the open and close have to engulf the
previous bars open and close and not just the high and low of the bar. With this
definition, the wide range bar or engulfing bar does not need to have a higher
high or lower low to qualify. The first definition most probably came about with
bar charts where it is harder to notice the open and close.
The following chart has the swing highs and lows marked in
both an up trend and a down trend. Price on a given time frame is in an up
trend if
it is making a higher highs (HH) and a high lows (HL) and in a down trend if it
is making lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). If price is doing anything else,
it is in a consolidation pattern - range, triangle, pennant, rectangle etc.

The trend is considered in place until price is no longer
making higher highs and higher lows in an up trend or lower highs and lower lows
in a down trend. After a trend is broken, there is usually a period of
consolidation that is easier to see on a lower time frame. With practice, you will be able to visualize this going on
without looking at the lower time frame.
When price is in a consolidation pattern that is often
referred to as chop, it is usually in a range with no trend pattern to the swing
highs and lows.

The above chart shows how an exact test of high or low may
mean a change in trend as it failed to make a higher high on test of last swing
high or a lower low on test of last swing low.
- Price was making HHs and HLs until price tested the prior swing high at A.
- Price made a LL and LH until price tested the prior swing low at B.
- Price made a LH (The bar that does not touch line at C) until price tested
the prior swing low at C.
- Price was making HHs and HLs until price tested the prior swing high at D.
It is possible for one time frame to be in one trend and
another time frame to be in a different trend or show consolidation. This is
where the phrase 'trend within a trend' regarding price action and the
different time frames comes from. An example would be that while price may be
rising on a daily chart, the intra-day chart will show retracements, corrections
of various types and consolidation periods
The true meaning of this and how it can influence your
trading, eludes many. The following exercise is an excellent way to learn what
the phrase 'trend within trend' means visually.

Pull up a 15 minutes chart and mark the highs as higher high
(HH) or lower high (LH) and the lows as lower low (LL) or higher low (HL). (The
note tool was used in Ensign to mark these charts.) You can also print out the
chart and mark it by hand. Use red lines if price in a down trend and green lines
if price in an up trend. Remember price is in an up trend if it is making HH - and
HL and in a down trend if it is making LH and LL. If price is doing anything
else, it can be a consolidation pattern - range, triangle, pennant, rectangle
etc.
Points labeled 1-4 on the example chart are in a down trend. Points
labeled 5-8 are in an up trend.
Now take the same chart and change the time frame to a 5
minutes chart, keeping the colored notes and numbers from the 15 minute by using the
padlock with the L to lock lines in Ensign. Mark the new highs and lows with
green numbers for an up trend and red numbers for a down trend.

Now we can see by the yellow HH and LL what trend is on the 15 minute at the same time we are able to see the trend on the
5 minute.
Both charts are in a down trend until the 5 minute makes a HH at the
first green #1. The down trend is broken when the LH at black #3 is exceeded.
Price then goes on to make a HL starting an up trend that continues until price
makes a lower high at the red #1. The 15 minute just made a HH at the black #5 and
will not make a HL until black #6. At this point, we are expecting a HL on the
15 minute, and are waiting for a long signal on the 5 minute. Some traders would take the
entry on the pair of reversal bars at red #2, others would wait until the last
swing high at red #1 is exceeded.
The time frames are now in agreement (shown by green #1-#4)
up to the black #7 HH. After the HH at #7, the 5 minute goes into a down
trend (shown
by red #1-#6) to what is still a HL on the 15 minute at #8. So, while the
15 minute price action shows only two trends, the 5 minute shows five different trends!
While you may trade the trends on the smaller time frame,
waiting for price action to show it is going to move in the same direction as
the larger time frame is trading with the trend. The trend is your friend!
The following two setups are from the 2XBline system. The
system is a combination of Buffy's BLine and Jimmer's 2X. (See www.dacharts.com for more information.)
2XBline concentrates on the higher percentage with the trend trades by taking
the middle out of the trend. It is fun to trade the middle of a
trend. It is
work to try to catch the tops and bottoms.
There are two templates available to download through Ensign's Internet
Services - 2XBline-35 and 2XBLCircles. The settings for the indicators
in the study windows are the same on both templates.
Trading Tip:Money on Floor by Judy MacKeigan
MOF stands for Money on Floor. It is just a fancy name for a pure price
action trade. The MOF takes a high percentage trend trade.
The purpose of a MOF is to:
Catch the first lower high in an up trend.
Catch the first higher low in a down trend.
1. Note price is making a lower high at point 1 after making a lower low -
trend has changed from up to down.
Bar high has tagged the upper Bollinger Band.
Bar colors are red showing the long term Stochastic
in the 2X Study Window has the %K lower than the %D.
2. In the 2X Study Window note the following at point 2:
The long term stochastic - two red lines - have
rolled over to the downside.
There is still a spread between %K and %D.
The short term Stochastic - the red/yellow and green
lines - have pulled back along with price.
We are looking for a short trade which is in the
direction of the long term Stochastic.
It is not necessary for the short term Stochastic to
pull back into the sell zone or even cross the longer term Stochastic.
3. In the Bline Study Window note the following at point 3:
The Bline is the black line with the green and
red colored dots.
The other 4 lines are referred to as ribbons.
Their relationship to the Bline and their
direction is what sets up trades.
The Bline is falling.
The Ribbons have pulled back up to the sell
zone - this is only necessary for the 5/3/3 (Cyan and Red lines) as you can
have ribbon divergence which is where the 5/3/3 and 9/3/3 do not stay
together.
This setup is called the first sell
signal with a falling Bline.
We are looking for a short which is in
the direction of the Bline.
4: This is the 3rd signal - Hidden Divergence-HD at point 4.
(May also be called Reverse or
Continuation Divergence)
Price has made a lower high while the MACD histogram has made a higher high.
Note the HD gave you plenty of warning this might be a 3 signal trade as the
divergence was present on the completion of the second up bar.
Now it is just a matter of patience until the ribbons get to the sell zone.
When these three signals are present, it is a very high percentage winning
trade.
When 2X and Bline signals are there, while it is still a high percentage
trade, you need to be more aware of what is going on in the higher and lower
time frames. One way to trade this would be to enter a sell stop just below the last
completed bar. Generally this is called "Stalking the
Retracement".
A simple way of describing this setup would be - The first touch of the
opposite Bollinger Band after the long term Stochastic has turned:
Long term Stochastic down then touch of the upper
Bollinger Band.
Long term Stochastic up then touch of the lower
Bollinger Band.
On this chart example, the long term Stochastic is down (bars red) and price tags
the upper Bollinger Band. While this setup is shown on a 343 constant tick chart, the setup is the same on any time
frame. As with all indicators, the larger moves are on the higher time
frames. The analysis for the MOF is the evolution of a couple of
ideas. First there was Buffy's Bline. Then there was Jimmer's 2X.
Combined they are called the 2xBline.
More information on the 2X Study Window from Jimmer's 2X system can be
found at http://www.dacharts.com/2x.php
More information on Buffy's Bline can be found at http://www.dacharts.com/b-line.php. Editor's Note: The template for this
setup can be downloaded from the Ensign web site using the Internet Services
tool in Ensign Windows. The template name is 2xBline-35.
Trading Tip:Sling Shot by Judy MacKeigan
The Sling Shot is a high percentage trend trade. It is work to
catch the bottoms and tops. It is fun to trade the middle of a trend.
Like MOF, it is just a fancy name for a pure price action
trade. The differences in the setup are:
The LT Stochastic in the 2X Study Window are flat usually with no or very
little space between %K and %D.
The Bline will be flat usually above 80 or below 20 and the ribbons will
create the sling often clearer than the 2X signal.
The purpose of a slingshot is to:
Catch a continuation trade off a retracements/flags/consolidation in
an up trend.
Catch a continuation trade off a retracements/flags/consolidation in
a down trend.
1. In price window - (Circles 1 and 2):
Price is making a lower high after making a
lower low - trend is still down.
Bars have tagged the upper Bollinger Band.
Bar colors are changing back and forth between
red and green.
This is common when the long term Stochastic
in the 2X Study Window and the Bline in the Bline Study Window are
flat,
either above 80 or below 20.
2. In the 2X Study Window note the following (A and D):
The long term stochastic - two red/green
lines - are flat and very little or no space between %K and %D.
The short term stochastic - the red/yellow and
green line - have pulled back along with price.
We are looking for a short continuation trade
which is in the direction of the trend.
It is not necessary for the short term stochastic to pull back into the sell zone.
3. In the Bline Study Window (B-E):
The Bline is the black line with the colored
circles.
The other 4 lines are referred to as
ribbons.
The relationship of the ribbons to the Bline and their
direction is what sets up trades.
The Bline is flat and below 20 .
The Ribbons have pulled back up to the sell
zone here, although this is not necessary for slingshots.
Often the 5/3/3 (Cyan and
Red lines) do tag the sell zone.
It is common to have a ribbon
divergence
to occur with Bline slings, which is when the 5/3/3 and 9/3/3 do not stay
together.
We are looking for a short
continuation trade which is in the direction of the trend.
4: MACD Study Window (C and F):
This is the 3rd signal - Hidden Divergence - HD (May also
be called Reverse or Continuation Divergence).
Price has made a lower high while the MACD histogram
has made a higher or equal high.
Note the HD on C gave you plenty of warning this might
be a 3 signal trade as the divergence was present on the completion
of the
fourth retracement bar.
You also want the MACD histogram falling if you
are going short and rising if you are going long.
Now it is just a matter of patience until confirmed
by price taking out the low of previous bar.
Note that F does not have HD. The first trade is
referred to as a 3 signal trade and the second one as a 2 signal trade.
When these three signals are present, it is a very high percentage winning
trade. With 2X and Bline signals only, it is still a high percentage trade but
you need to be more aware of what is going on in the higher and lower time
frames. One way to trade this would be to enter a sell stop below the low of
the bar two bars ago. Generally this is called "Stalking
the Retracement".
Ask yourself - What does price have to do to make these indicators confirm
this trade for me and that is where you want your sell stop.
The most common places for the long term (LT) Stochastic in the 2x window to go flat
is as follows:
1. Above 80 and below 20
2. Close to the midpoint of the Stochastic. This often results in a
measured move also referred to as an equal length continuation trade.
While the example is showing a 550 constant tick chart, the setup is the same on
any time frame. As with all indicators, the larger moves are on the
higher time frames.
The following is an excerpt from Jimmer's Bollinger Band (BB) Discussion when
teaching 2X complete and might help you if you have never used BB
before. The entire discussion can be found at this link:
http://www.dacharts.org/archives/Jimmer_SMAX/Bollinger_Band_Chat/Jimmer_on_BB_transcript.htm
Examples:
1. If price touches a rising lower BB
(long) or a falling upper BB (short) in the traded
time frame, that is a safe entry point.
2. If price touches a lateral (flat) BB and is
also touching (or nearly touching) a lateral BB in a
higher time frame,
that is safe entry for trade in opposite direction.
3. If price touches lateral lower BB (for long)
and lower BB on higher TF is distinctly rising, that
is a safe long entry (reverse for short).
4. If price touches lower BB and macd and/or
stochastic on higher time frame (TF) is showing long, that is safe long entry.
Trading Tip:Buffy's Tips by Judy MacKeigan
This article is a collection of useful information that I am commonly asked
about in
the B-Line chat room in Ensign.
E-mail Charts:
When you are doing a playback on your own, feel free to e-mail me the chart
using Ctrl-E in Ensign. Check the Other box and enter unicorn@ctel.net
in the window to the right of Other. After you have
typed your question in the Message text window, including the day you are
playing back, click the send button. It will say when finished. Click on
OK to close the e-mail window. Remember the only 'stupid'
question is the unasked one.
Also playback uses your current computer clock so please make sure it is
accurate. At www.dacharts.com
under links "Trader's Tools" are links to good Internet clocks.
I personally run the Dimension 4 clock in the morning and then close it so it
is not conflicting with my eSignal data feed.
Sim-Broker:
Use Sim-Broker will keep track of your trades by marking them on the
chart. This feature can be opened two ways. Use the icon in the control
tool bar - circle that is half blue and half red - or right mouse click and
click on Sim-Broker in the pop-up menu. Whatever chart that is
active when you open Sim-Broker is the chart that will be marked with your
trades. If you are practicing with multiple contracts, Sim-Broker
will also note your open position on the chart.
If you discover Sim-Broker is not working, it is usually because it
is confused by having been left open in the demo workspace and
"lost" the chart that it is trying to mark.. If you click
the Reset Summary button and the Clear Log button, close the Sim-Broker
window using the X in the top right corner and then reopen it with the
chart in focus you want your trades logged on. Then, it should be working
well.
If you wish to have a printout of your trades, just click on the printer
icon with Sim-Broker window active. The file created for the day will be located in the \Ensign\Broker folder.
If you do more than one playback in a day, it is overwritten with the last
playback done when the Sim-Broker window is closed.
Please note there is no refresh available in playback. If you wish
to change a chart from day session to all sessions, uncheck day session,
save the workspace and then restart playback to fill in the bars for all
sessions.
To simulate real-time trading where fills aren't so fast, you may want to
increase the commission size in Sim-Broker to double what your commissions
really are.
Direct Feedback for how well you trade:
The following method was shared by Pam Danielson - Google- and I have
recommended it to many traders. It forces you to focus on discipline and
consistency versus points.
Trade with Sim-Broker marking the charts with your entries and exits. At
the end of the day, print the chart out. Obtain a base number by going over the chart and seeing how many setups that
followed your rules were presented that you were at the machine to take.
Now go over your trades. Give yourself one point for each setup that followed your rules that you took.
Subtract a point for each setup that followed your rules that you didn't
take. Subtract a point for each trade that you took that did not follow your rules.
The closer the result is to your base number, the better you did regarding
discipline and consistency.
Other ways of measuring your performance are discussed in the two
Trading Plan discussions - http://dacharts.org/archives/Trading_Plan/
Trading Room Lingo:
MOF - Money on Floor - First Study Window - 2X Window
Long term Stochastic has just rolled over.
Usually
there is a spread between the %K and %D.
It is the
first touch of the opposite BB - Bollinger Band SLING - in the first study window - 2X window
Long term Stochastic is relatively flat.
Short term Stochastic
pulls away.
While you
are in the trade, the Short term Stochastic sling back to the Long term
Stochastic
TMAR - Take the money and run
HH-LH-HL-LL - higher high, lower high, higher low, lower low
HD - Hidden Divergence - also called Reverse Divergence and Continuation
Divergence. When
I speak of HD I am referring to the MACD Histogram. You might want to read the following link on
it: http://www.ensignsoftware.com/tips/tradingtips31.htm
RD - Regular Divergence - per the article - again referring to the MACD
Histogram
Ribbons - these are the 4 colored lines in the bottom study window - Bline
Window.
Their
relationship to the Bline - the white/black line with the dots - is what makes the
patterns for setups,
While all of the discussions at http://www.dacharts.com/discussions.php
are well worth reading, the following ones may be referred to
"Stops and Exits"
"Steps to Success" part 1 and part 2
"Seven Deadly Sins of Trading" Playback:
A new pause button has been added in the January 17th version. When you are
running playback, it will appear to the right of Help on the main menu. The button will only
show when doing a playback. If the button is SHOWING, that is your
indication playback is still running and that it is wasting CPU power during
market time. So, it will be a visual help or indication as well that you
would benefit to return to playback window and uncheck the Enable box to turn
playback OFF. Uncheck the Playback Enabled box on the SetUp | Playback
form when markets are open.
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